It’s been a strange awards season to say the least, but honestly when is it not? Not a pandemic, not even world war, has been able to stop the beast of awards season. So I wondered how it would all play out when the Academy Awards announced their postponement, for a year where so many awards-heavy films were delayed. Nonetheless, the year in film must be represented, regardless if films were even released in theaters or not. There were some pleasant surprises among the nominations (two female director nominees for the first time ever, Thomas Vinterberg for Director, Paul Raci for supporting actor) and some let downs (no Delroy Lindo? And Small Axe – which we named best film of 2020 – wasn’t even eligible?) But despite having a “watered down” awards season, the Academy Awards always manage to come out swinging with a surprise or two in the mix. And as a result, awards season became just a little more intimate this year. Here’s who will win at the 93rd Academy Awards:
Best Picture
The Father
Judas and the Black Messiah
Mank
Minari
Nomadland
Promising Young Woman
Sound of Metal
The Trial of the Chicago 7
Best Actor in a Leading Role
Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal
Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Anthony Hopkins, The Father
Gary Oldman, Mank
Steven Yeun, Minari
Best Actress in a Leading Role
Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Andra Day, The United States vs. Billie Holiday
Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman
Frances McDormand, Nomadland
Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman
This is perhaps the toughest category this year, as Andra Day, Frances McDormand, Viola Davis, and Carey Mulligan have all picked up major curtain raiser awards leading up to the Oscars. But if history repeats itself, and the Oscars go with the ballsier choice (like they did with Olivia Coleman two years ago), expect Mulligan to swoop in and pick it up. If not her, expect Viola Davis to take it – McDormand just won three years ago, and has already won twice overall.
Best Actress in a Supporting Role
Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy
Olivia Colman, The Father
Amanda Seyfried, Mank
Yuh-Jung Youn, Minari
Best Actor in a Supporting Role
Sacha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7
Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah
Leslie Odom, Jr., One Night in Miami
Paul Raci, Sound of Metal
LaKeith Stanfield, Judas and the Black Messiah
Kaluuya has picked up pretty much every supporting actor award there is this year. Except, Paul Raci wasn’t nominated against him for any of them. A critic’s favorite, expect Raci to win if Kaluuya doesn’t take the statue.
Best Director
Thomas Vinterberg, Another Round
Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman
David Fincher, Mank
Lee Isaac Chung, Minari
Chloé Zhao, Nomadland
After picking up every single directing award this season, it’d seem like a miracle if anyone except Zhao were to win. However, if I had to put a dark horse that could cause an upset, I’d say Vinterberg. (How cool would that be?)
Best Adapted Screenplay
Borat Subsequent Moviefilm (Peter Baynham, Sacha Baron Cohen, Jena Friedman, Anthony Hines, Lee Kern, Dan Mazer, Erica Rivinoja & Dan Swimer)
The Father (Christopher Hampton & Florian Zeller)
Nomadland (Chloé Zhao)
One Night in Miami (Kemp Powers)
The White Tiger (Ramin Bahrani)
Best Original Screenplay
Judas and the Black Messiah (Will Berson, Shaka King, Keith Lucas & Kenny Lucas)
Minari (Lee Isaac Chung)
Promising Young Woman (Emerald Fennell)
Sound of Metal (Derek Cianfrance, Abraham Marder & Darius Marder)
The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Aaron Sorkin)
This would mark the first time both screenplay categories went to women with sole-screenwriting credit on their scripts.
Best Costume Design
Emma
Mank
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Mulan
Pinocchio
Best Original Score
Da 5 Bloods
Mank
Minari
News of the World
Soul
Best Animated Short Film
Burrow
Genius Loci
If Anything Happens I Love You
Opera
Yes-People
Best Live-Action Short Film
Feeling Through
The Letter Room
The Present
Two Distant Strangers
White Eye
Best Documentary Feature
Collective
Crip Camp
The Mole Agent
My Octopus Teacher
Time
Best Documentary Short Subject
Colette
A Concerto Is a Conversation
Do Not Split
Hunger Ward
A Love Song for Latasha
Best International Feature Film
Denmark, Another Round
Hong Kong, Better Days
Romania, Collective
Tunisia, The Man Who Sold His Skin
Bosnia and Herzegovina, Quo Vadis, Aida?
Best Sound
Greyhound
Mank
News of the World
Sound of Metal
Soul
Best Production Design
The Father
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Mank
News of the World
Tenet
Best Film Editing
The Father
Nomadland
Promising Young Woman
Sound of Metal
The Trial of the Chicago 7
Best Cinematography
Judas and the Black Messiah
Mank
News of the World
Nomadland
The Trial of the Chicago 7
Again, Nomadland has picked up every award for cinematography this year, except the ASC award, which is the only one that really matters. If Nomadland doesn’t win, expect Mank to take this category.
Best Visual Effects
Love and Monsters
The Midnight Sky
Mulan
The One and Only Ivan
Tenet
Best Animated Feature Film
Onward
Over the Moon
A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon
Soul
Wolfwalkers
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Emma
Hillbilly Elegy
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Mank
Pinocchio
Best Original Song
“Husavik” from Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga
“Fight For You” from Judas and the Black Messiah
“lo Sì (Seen)” from The Life Ahead (La Vita Davanti a Se)
“Speak Now” from One Night in Miami
“Hear My Voice” from The Trial of the Chicago 7